Mistral AI vs Moonshot AI (Kimi)
Head-to-head for the week of 26 Oct 2026.
| Metric | Mistral AI | Moonshot AI (Kimi) | Leads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 27.7 5/5 | 51.8 5/5 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Rank | #10 | #7 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Coverage | 5/5 | 5/5 | n/a |
| Arena text (rank, score, model) | #111 · 1434 Mistral Large 4 | #18 · 1487 Kimi K3 (Max) | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| AA Intelligence Index (index, position, model) | 38.4 · #49 Mistral Large 4 Preview | 55.1 · #5 Kimi K3.1 Pro | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Revenue run-rate | $1B ARR, 'slightly above $1B' per CFO 8 Sept 2026 · WSJ (opens in new tab) | $1B ARR (current, per Bloomberg) 6 Oct 2026 · Silicon Republic (Bloomberg) (opens in new tab) | tie |
| Revenue (claimed, not scored) | n/a | $2B not scored | n/a |
| Valuation (latest closed) | $24B post-money, ~€21B, Series D 8 Sept 2026 · Reuters (opens in new tab) | $50B final private round (reported) 6 Oct 2026 · Silicon Republic (Bloomberg) (opens in new tab) | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Total funding (not scored) | $7.5B 8 Sept 2026 · Crunchbase News (opens in new tab) | No reliable public figure. | n/a |
| Polymarket 2026 #1 odds · Change vs 19 Oct 2026 | 0.15% −0.1pp | 0.45% +0.1pp | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Arena component | 17 | 70 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| AA component | 66.6 | 95.6 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Revenue component | 35.4 | 35.4 | tie |
| Valuation component | 46.2 | 56.9 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Odds component | 0.3 | 0.8 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
Arena: manual snapshot as of 22 Oct 2026 (source). Artificial Analysis: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (source). Polymarket: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (primary market).
Compute (not scored)
Mistral AI
- No compute disclosures.
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
- No compute disclosures.
Compute figures use different methodologies across labs, so they're listed, not scored; see /compute/ for the comparable Epoch AI estimates (methodology).
History
| Week | Mistral AI | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 backfilled | #10 · 24.6 | #7 · 46.5 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | #10 · 24.6 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | #10 · 24.6 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | #10 · 24.6 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | #10 · 27.7 | #7 · 51.8 |
FAQ
Which scores higher, Mistral AI or Moonshot AI (Kimi)?
Moonshot AI (Kimi) (51.8/100 vs 27.7/100).
Which ranks higher on the Arena leaderboard?
Moonshot AI (Kimi) (#18 vs #111).
Which has the higher revenue run-rate?
They are tied, both at $1B.
Which has the higher 2026 Polymarket odds of the best AI model?
Moonshot AI (Kimi) (0.45% vs 0.15%).