Polymarket odds leaderboard
Anthropic has the highest Polymarket odds of having the best AI model by end of 2026, at 53.5%.
| Rank | Lab | Odds | Change vs 19 Oct 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anthropic | 53.5% | +4pp |
| 2 | Google DeepMind | 32.5% | −7pp |
| 3 | OpenAI | 5.7% | −1.6pp |
| 4 | Meta Superintelligence Labs | 1.4% | −0.7pp |
| 5 | xAI (SpaceXAI) | 0.95% | −0.7pp |
| 6 | Alibaba (Qwen) | 0.45% | +0.1pp |
| 6 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) | 0.45% | +0.1pp |
| 8 | DeepSeek | 0.35% | ±0pp |
| 9 | Z.ai (Zhipu) | 0.25% | −0.1pp |
| 10 | Mistral AI | 0.15% | −0.1pp |
Primary market: Which company has best AI model end of 2026?, fetched 26 Oct 2026, 08:08 (Bucharest time).
All markets and history: Polymarket best AI model odds.
FAQ
Which lab leads the 2026 "best AI model" Polymarket odds?
Anthropic, at 53.5%.
Where does this number come from?
Polymarket, fetched 26 Oct 2026, 08:08
Why isn't every lab listed?
Every tracked lab has a figure for this metric.