Which AI company is winning?

A data answer, not an opinion: the leader on each of the five inputs we track (Arena, Artificial Analysis, revenue run-rate, closed valuation, Polymarket odds) and the composite score that combines them.

Data as of the week of 26 Oct 2026 (updated 26 Oct 2026, 08:09, Bucharest time). Every figure links to its source; see the methodology.

The short answer

Anthropic is #1 on the composite score (97.2/100), 10.3 points ahead of Google DeepMind. But no single lab leads everything: 2 different labs lead the 6 categories below. Google DeepMind has the top-rated model on Arena, and prediction-market traders put Anthropic at 53.5% to have the best model at the end of 2026.

Biggest score gain vs 19 Oct 2026: xAI (SpaceXAI) (+9). Biggest drop: Google DeepMind (-5.4).

Head-to-heads: Anthropic vs Google DeepMind · Anthropic vs OpenAI · Google DeepMind vs OpenAI

Who leads each part of the race

Overall #1 (composite score)Anthropic97.2/100, +10.3 over Google DeepMind full list →
#1 on Arena (text)Google DeepMindGemini 4 Argon (High), 1517 (as of 22 Oct 2026) full list →
#1 on Artificial AnalysisAnthropicClaude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback), index 57.6 full list →
Highest revenue run-rateAnthropic$67.2B (Q3 2026 revenue × 4 (computed; $16.8B quarter told to investors, gross accounting)) full list →
Highest closed valuationAnthropic$965B (post-money, Series H, 28 May 2026) full list →
Polymarket favourite (end of 2026)Anthropic53.5% implied odds full list →

All 10 labs this week

Composite standings
RankLabScoreCoverageChange vs 19 Oct 2026
1 —Anthropic97.25/5+2.8
2 —Google DeepMind86.93/5−5.4
3 —OpenAI68.65/5+1.7
4 —Meta Super­intelligence Labs67.53/5+3
5 ▲1xAI (SpaceXAI)58.35/5+9
6 ▼1Alibaba (Qwen)53.64/5+3.1
7 —Moonshot AI (Kimi)51.85/5+5.5
8 —Z.ai (Zhipu)48.83/5+4.4
9 —DeepSeek45.35/5+2.7
10 —Mistral AI27.75/5+3.1

FAQ

Which AI company is winning the AI race right now?

On the AI Race Scoreboard composite, Anthropic (97.2/100), week of 26 Oct 2026. Google DeepMind is second at 86.9.

Is the company with the best model also the one making the most money?

No. Google DeepMind is #1 on Arena, while Anthropic reports the highest revenue ($67.2B).

How close is the race?

10.3 points separate #1 and #2 on a 0-100 scale. #3, OpenAI, is at 68.6.

Why can Google DeepMind rank #2 without a revenue figure?

Missing components are dropped and the remaining weights rescaled, so Google DeepMind is scored on 3 of 5 components. Coverage is shown next to every score; the methodology explains the known bias.

How often is this updated?

Weekly, on Mondays (Europe/Bucharest). Polymarket and Artificial Analysis are fetched on each run; Arena is a manual snapshot; revenue, valuation and funding are updated by hand when a sourced figure changes.

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