Alibaba (Qwen) vs Moonshot AI (Kimi)
Head-to-head for the week of 26 Oct 2026.
| Metric | Alibaba (Qwen) | Moonshot AI (Kimi) | Leads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 53.6 4/5 | 51.8 5/5 | Alibaba (Qwen) |
| Rank | #6 | #7 | Alibaba (Qwen) |
| Coverage | 4/5 | 5/5 | n/a |
| Arena text (rank, score, model) | #23 · 1483 Qwen3.8-Max | #18 · 1487 Kimi K3 (Max) | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| AA Intelligence Index (index, position, model) | 45.4 · #29 Qwen3.8 Max (0902) | 55.1 · #5 Kimi K3.1 Pro | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Revenue run-rate | $7.3B AI-related product revenue, June quarter × 4 (computed; parent-segment metric) 30 Jun 2026 · Alibaba June Quarter 2026 results (opens in new tab) | $1B ARR (current, per Bloomberg) 6 Oct 2026 · Silicon Republic (Bloomberg) (opens in new tab) | Alibaba (Qwen) |
| Revenue (claimed, not scored) | n/a | $2B not scored | n/a |
| Valuation (latest closed) | No reliable public figure. | $50B final private round (reported) 6 Oct 2026 · Silicon Republic (Bloomberg) (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Total funding (not scored) | No reliable public figure. | No reliable public figure. | n/a |
| Polymarket 2026 #1 odds · Change vs 19 Oct 2026 | 0.45% +0.1pp | 0.45% +0.1pp | tie |
| Arena component | 66 | 70 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| AA component | 78.8 | 95.6 | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
| Revenue component | 65.9 | 35.4 | Alibaba (Qwen) |
| Valuation component | n/a | 56.9 | n/a |
| Odds component | 0.8 | 0.8 | tie |
Arena: manual snapshot as of 22 Oct 2026 (source). Artificial Analysis: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (source). Polymarket: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (primary market).
Compute (not scored)
Alibaba (Qwen)
- Group capex, June quarter: US$9.975B (30 Jun 2026 · Alibaba June Quarter 2026 results (opens in new tab))
Moonshot AI (Kimi)
- No compute disclosures.
Compute figures use different methodologies across labs, so they're listed, not scored; see /compute/ for the comparable Epoch AI estimates (methodology).
History
| Week | Alibaba (Qwen) | Moonshot AI (Kimi) |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 backfilled | #5 · 50.7 | #7 · 46.5 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.7 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.5 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.5 | #7 · 46.3 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | #6 · 53.6 | #7 · 51.8 |
FAQ
Which scores higher, Alibaba (Qwen) or Moonshot AI (Kimi)?
Alibaba (Qwen) (53.6/100 vs 51.8/100).
Which ranks higher on the Arena leaderboard?
Moonshot AI (Kimi) (#18 vs #23).
Which has the higher revenue run-rate?
Alibaba (Qwen) ($7.3B vs $1B).
Which has the higher 2026 Polymarket odds of the best AI model?
They are tied, both at 0.45%.