#3
San Francisco, US
OpenAI
Score 67.4 -1.4 · 5/5 components · rank — vs 10 Oct 2026
Score breakdown
Arena text (35)61
AA Intelligence (15)91.4
Revenue (20)95.9
Valuation (10)98.2
Polymarket odds (20)16.5
Missing components are left out and the other weights rescaled. Formula
Models
Arena text: #21, GPT-5.6 Sol (xHigh) (1485) · arena.ai, as of 15 Oct 2026
Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index: 52.7, GPT-6 Astra (Max) (position 8) · artificialanalysis.ai
Prediction markets
The receipts
CLAIMED vs REPORTED
Axios: annualized revenue is ~$20B less than the figure previously reported. OpenAI also told investors it expects ≥$70B annualized by end of 2026 (Bloomberg via Yahoo Finance). Axios
The scoreboard uses the reported figure.
| Metric | Value | Basis | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue (reported) | $50B | annualized run-rate, end of September (net of partner share) OpenAI books only its retained share of some partner (Azure) sales. | 30 Sept 2026 | Axios |
| Revenue (claimed) | $70B | earlier investor-facing 'grossed-up' annualized figure Axios: annualized revenue is ~$20B less than the figure previously reported. OpenAI also told investors it expects ≥$70B annualized by end of 2026 (Bloomberg via Yahoo Finance). | 8 Oct 2026 | Axios |
| Valuation | $852B | post-money, $122B round | 31 Mar 2026 | OpenAI |
| Valuation (in talks) | $1.4T | pre-money, in talks to raise ≥$30B (not closed) | 12 Oct 2026 | TradedVC / Bloomberg |
| Total funding | $178B | Other databases differ: VC Market Cap lists $192.20B. | 16 Oct 2026 | StockAnalysis (funding database) |
| Compute | 30 GW | Planned capacity by 2030 (told investors) | 9 Sept 2026 | AI-RTZ |
| Compute | ~$750B | Compute spend forecast through 2030 | 9 Sept 2026 | AI-RTZ (The Information) |
Timeline
12 Oct 2026
In talks to raise ≥$30B at a $1.4T pre-money valuation (not closed). · TradedVC8 Oct 2026
The ~$70B figure became ~$50B. Annualized revenue is about $20B less than previously reported (an accounting 'gross-up'). · Axios9 Sept 2026
Expects to burn about $25B of cash in 2026 (The Information). · AI-RTZ