1. ANTH 94.4 ▲2. GOOG 93.3 ▼3. OAI 67.4 •4. META 64.9 •5. QWEN 50.7 •6. XAI 49.4 •7. KIMI 46.3 •8. GLM 44.5 •9. DSK 41.2 •10. MIST 24.6 •👑 NEW #1: ANTHROPIC1. ANTH 94.4 ▲2. GOOG 93.3 ▼3. OAI 67.4 •4. META 64.9 •5. QWEN 50.7 •6. XAI 49.4 •7. KIMI 46.3 •8. GLM 44.5 •9. DSK 41.2 •10. MIST 24.6 •👑 NEW #1: ANTHROPIC
#6
Palo Alto / Memphis, US · SpaceX (acquired Feb 2026)

xAI (SpaceXAI)

Score 49.4 -0.3 · 5/5 components · rank — vs 10 Oct 2026

Score breakdown

Arena text (35)51
AA Intelligence (15)80.6
Revenue (20)53.9
Valuation (10)80.3
Polymarket odds (20)3.5

Missing components are left out and the other weights rescaled. Formula

Models

Arena text: #37, Grok 4.20 Beta 1 (1475) · arena.ai, as of 15 Oct 2026

Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index: 46.4, Grok 4.7 (Xhigh) (position 25) · artificialanalysis.ai

Prediction markets

  • Which company has best AI model end of 2026? <1% / not top-4 ↗
  • Which company has the best AI model end of October? <1% / not top-4 ↗
  • Which company has the best AI model end of November? <1% / not top-4 ↗

The receipts

MetricValueBasisAs ofSource
Revenue (reported)$3.3BQ1 2026 segment revenue × 4 (computed; includes X ads/subscriptions)
Q1 2026 revenue $818M, operating loss $2.47B. We multiply the quarter by 4 ourselves.
31 Mar 2026Morningstar (SpaceX S-1)
Valuation$250Bimplied value in the SpaceX all-stock merger2 Feb 2026Reuters
Total funding—No reliable public figure.
Compute~946 MWColossus 2, current IT power (est.), largest tracked15 Oct 2026Epoch AI
Compute$7.7BAI-segment capex, Q1 202631 Mar 2026TechCrunch (S-1)

Timeline

20 May 2026
Lost $6.4B from operations on $3.2B revenue in 2025 (SpaceX S-1). · TechCrunch
20 May 2026
Grok: 117M monthly users, but only 1.9M pay for the advanced models. · Morningstar

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