Meta Superintelligence Labs vs xAI (SpaceXAI)
Head-to-head for the week of 26 Oct 2026.
| Metric | Meta Superintelligence Labs | xAI (SpaceXAI) | Leads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 67.5 3/5 | 58.3 5/5 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| Rank | #4 | #5 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| Coverage | 3/5 | 5/5 | n/a |
| Arena text (rank, score, model) | #3 · 1509 Muse Wonder (Max) | #39 · 1475 Grok 4.20 Beta 1 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| AA Intelligence Index (index, position, model) | 55.8 · #4 Muse Wonder Full (Max) | 46.4 · #25 Grok 4.7 (Xhigh) | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| Revenue run-rate | No reliable public figure. | $30.2B Q3 2026 Super Intelligence (SI) segment revenue × 4 (computed; segment includes compute rental, Cursor and X ads) 30 Sept 2026 · SpaceX Q3 2026 results (SEC 8-K) (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Valuation (latest closed) | No reliable public figure. | $250B implied value in the SpaceX all-stock merger 2 Feb 2026 · Reuters (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Total funding (not scored) | No reliable public figure. | No reliable public figure. | n/a |
| Polymarket 2026 #1 odds · Change vs 19 Oct 2026 | 1.4% −0.7pp | 0.95% −0.7pp | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| Arena component | 92 | 58 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| AA component | 96.8 | 80.6 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
| Revenue component | n/a | 87.7 | n/a |
| Valuation component | n/a | 80.3 | n/a |
| Odds component | 2.6 | 1.8 | Meta Superintelligence Labs |
Arena: manual snapshot as of 22 Oct 2026 (source). Artificial Analysis: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (source). Polymarket: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (primary market).
Other prediction markets
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Meta Superintelligence Labs0.4%
xAI (SpaceXAI)not in top 4
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Meta Superintelligence Labs2.25%
xAI (SpaceXAI)not in top 4
Compute (not scored)
Meta Superintelligence Labs
- Meta 2026 capex guidance (company-wide): $135–145B (21 Oct 2026 · Meta Q3 2026 results (opens in new tab))
- Meta Prometheus, current IT power (est.): ~471 MW (15 Oct 2026 · Epoch AI (opens in new tab))
xAI (SpaceXAI)
- Colossus 2, current IT power (est.), largest tracked: ~946 MW (15 Oct 2026 · Epoch AI (opens in new tab))
- AI-segment capex, Q1 2026: $7.7B (31 Mar 2026 · TechCrunch (S-1) (opens in new tab))
Compute figures use different methodologies across labs, so they're listed, not scored; see /compute/ for the comparable Epoch AI estimates (methodology).
History
| Week | Meta Superintelligence Labs | xAI (SpaceXAI) |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 backfilled | #4 · 64.7 | #6 · 49.7 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | #4 · 64.9 | #6 · 49.4 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | #4 · 64.5 | #6 · 49.3 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | #4 · 64.1 | #6 · 49.2 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | #4 · 67.5 | #5 · 58.3 |
FAQ
Which scores higher, Meta Superintelligence Labs or xAI (SpaceXAI)?
Meta Superintelligence Labs (67.5/100 vs 58.3/100).
Which ranks higher on the Arena leaderboard?
Meta Superintelligence Labs (#3 vs #39).
Which has the higher revenue run-rate?
xAI (SpaceXAI) ($30.2B); there is no reliable public figure for Meta Superintelligence Labs.
Which has the higher 2026 Polymarket odds of the best AI model?
Meta Superintelligence Labs (1.4% vs 0.95%).