Google DeepMind vs xAI (SpaceXAI)
Head-to-head for the week of 26 Oct 2026.
| Metric | Google DeepMind | xAI (SpaceXAI) | Leads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 86.9 3/5 | 58.3 5/5 | Google DeepMind |
| Rank | #2 | #5 | Google DeepMind |
| Coverage | 3/5 | 5/5 | n/a |
| Arena text (rank, score, model) | #1 · 1517 Gemini 4 Argon (High) | #39 · 1475 Grok 4.20 Beta 1 | Google DeepMind |
| AA Intelligence Index (index, position, model) | 52.6 · #10 Gemini 4 Argon (High) | 46.4 · #25 Grok 4.7 (Xhigh) | Google DeepMind |
| Revenue run-rate | No reliable public figure. | $30.2B Q3 2026 Super Intelligence (SI) segment revenue × 4 (computed; segment includes compute rental, Cursor and X ads) 30 Sept 2026 · SpaceX Q3 2026 results (SEC 8-K) (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Valuation (latest closed) | No reliable public figure. | $250B implied value in the SpaceX all-stock merger 2 Feb 2026 · Reuters (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Total funding (not scored) | No reliable public figure. | No reliable public figure. | n/a |
| Polymarket 2026 #1 odds · Change vs 19 Oct 2026 | 32.5% −7pp | 0.95% −0.7pp | Google DeepMind |
| Arena component | 100 | 58 | Google DeepMind |
| AA component | 91.2 | 80.6 | Google DeepMind |
| Revenue component | n/a | 87.7 | n/a |
| Valuation component | n/a | 80.3 | n/a |
| Odds component | 60.7 | 1.8 | Google DeepMind |
Arena: manual snapshot as of 22 Oct 2026 (source). Artificial Analysis: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (source). Polymarket: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (primary market).
Other prediction markets
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Google DeepMind85%
xAI (SpaceXAI)not in top 4
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Google DeepMind47.5%
xAI (SpaceXAI)not in top 4
Compute (not scored)
Google DeepMind
- Alphabet 2026 capex guidance (company-wide): $195–205B (22 Jul 2026 · CNBC (Q2 2026 earnings) (opens in new tab))
xAI (SpaceXAI)
- Colossus 2, current IT power (est.), largest tracked: ~946 MW (15 Oct 2026 · Epoch AI (opens in new tab))
- AI-segment capex, Q1 2026: $7.7B (31 Mar 2026 · TechCrunch (S-1) (opens in new tab))
Compute figures use different methodologies across labs, so they're listed, not scored; see /compute/ for the comparable Epoch AI estimates (methodology).
History
| Week | Google DeepMind | xAI (SpaceXAI) |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 backfilled | #1 · 98.1 | #6 · 49.7 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | #2 · 93.3 | #6 · 49.4 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | #2 · 92.3 | #6 · 49.3 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | #1 · 96 | #6 · 49.2 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | #2 · 86.9 | #5 · 58.3 |
FAQ
Which scores higher, Google DeepMind or xAI (SpaceXAI)?
Google DeepMind (86.9/100 vs 58.3/100).
Which ranks higher on the Arena leaderboard?
Google DeepMind (#1 vs #39).
Which has the higher revenue run-rate?
xAI (SpaceXAI) ($30.2B); there is no reliable public figure for Google DeepMind.
Which has the higher 2026 Polymarket odds of the best AI model?
Google DeepMind (32.5% vs 0.95%).