Alibaba (Qwen) vs Anthropic
Head-to-head for the week of 26 Oct 2026.
| Metric | Alibaba (Qwen) | Anthropic | Leads |
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 53.6 4/5 | 97.2 5/5 | Anthropic |
| Rank | #6 | #1 | Anthropic |
| Coverage | 4/5 | 5/5 | n/a |
| Arena text (rank, score, model) | #23 · 1483 Qwen3.8-Max | #2 · 1509 Claude Opus 5.5 (High) | Anthropic |
| AA Intelligence Index (index, position, model) | 45.4 · #29 Qwen3.8 Max (0902) | 57.6 · #1 Claude Opus 5.5 (Max, Default Fallback) | Anthropic |
| Revenue run-rate | $7.3B AI-related product revenue, June quarter × 4 (computed; parent-segment metric) 30 Jun 2026 · Alibaba June Quarter 2026 results (opens in new tab) | $67.2B Q3 2026 revenue × 4 (computed; $16.8B quarter told to investors, gross accounting) 30 Sept 2026 · CNBC (also Reuters, Bloomberg, FT) (opens in new tab) | Anthropic |
| Valuation (latest closed) | No reliable public figure. | $965B post-money, Series H 28 May 2026 · Anthropic (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Total funding (not scored) | No reliable public figure. | $141B 30 Jun 2026 · Anthropic S-1 (SEC EDGAR) (opens in new tab) | n/a |
| Polymarket 2026 #1 odds · Change vs 19 Oct 2026 | 0.45% +0.1pp | 53.5% +4pp | Anthropic |
| Arena component | 66 | 92 | Anthropic |
| AA component | 78.8 | 100 | Anthropic |
| Revenue component | 65.9 | 100 | Anthropic |
| Valuation component | n/a | 100 | n/a |
| Odds component | 0.8 | 100 | Anthropic |
Arena: manual snapshot as of 22 Oct 2026 (source). Artificial Analysis: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (source). Polymarket: fetched 26 Oct 2026 (primary market).
Other prediction markets
Which company has the best AI model end of October?
Alibaba (Qwen)not in top 4
Anthropic11.8%
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
Alibaba (Qwen)not in top 4
Anthropic45.5%
Compute (not scored)
Alibaba (Qwen)
- Group capex, June quarter: US$9.975B (30 Jun 2026 · Alibaba June Quarter 2026 results (opens in new tab))
Anthropic
- Compute contracted since Oct 2025: ≥14.8 GW (6 Sept 2026 · The Information via AI-RTZ (opens in new tab))
- Anthropic-Amazon New Carlisle, current IT power (est.): ~910 MW (15 Oct 2026 · Epoch AI (opens in new tab))
- Fixed/minimum compute & infrastructure commitments: ~$265.6B (30 Jun 2026 · Anthropic S-1, Note 13 (SEC EDGAR) (opens in new tab))
Compute figures use different methodologies across labs, so they're listed, not scored; see /compute/ for the comparable Epoch AI estimates (methodology).
History
| Week | Alibaba (Qwen) | Anthropic |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2026 backfilled | #5 · 50.7 | #2 · 93.9 |
| 17 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.7 | #1 · 94.4 |
| 19 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.5 | #1 · 94.4 |
| 22 Oct 2026 | #5 · 50.5 | #2 · 94.4 |
| 26 Oct 2026 | #6 · 53.6 | #1 · 97.2 |
FAQ
Which scores higher, Alibaba (Qwen) or Anthropic?
Anthropic (97.2/100 vs 53.6/100).
Which ranks higher on the Arena leaderboard?
Anthropic (#2 vs #23).
Which has the higher revenue run-rate?
Anthropic ($67.2B vs $7.3B).
Which has the higher 2026 Polymarket odds of the best AI model?
Anthropic (53.5% vs 0.45%).